Early warning systems are a major component in disaster risk reduction. Despite forecasting system advances, hydro-meteorological and geo-hazards continue to claim thousands of lives, while wreaking irreparable damage upon homes, businesses and critical infrastructure.
Research advancements have rapidly improved data observation, modelling and the analysis of natural hazards forecasting for disaster risk reduction. Unfortunately, many of these advances have not been tailored to benefit communities at risk. Forecasts are only as good as the language and method used in communicating to affected communities.
Key issues to discuss:
- Policy and political issues – How to ensure an end-to-end early warning system that covers both vertical and horizontal institutions to achieve risk-informed sustainable development
- Ensemble-based guidance – Using ensemble-based guidance in day-to-day forecasting, including longer-range prediction
- Decision making – Opportunities to use medium-range ensemble forecasting to support decision making to help communities
Date: August 11th 2020, 1-1:45 pm Wellington NZ time
